本帖最后由 syncsw1 于 21-9-2016 03:00 PM 编辑
随便用spreadsheet十几分钟就美美算出料。
2013年大选
valid vote : 11,054,577
BN vote : 5,237,699
BN vote (%) : 47.38%
BN seat : 133
Simple majority : 112
possible reduction :21 seats
Excluding 21 seats where BN garnered the most votes,totalling 808,693 or 7.31%
Parliament | No. of vote | P006 | 33,334 | P011 | 32,165 | P012 | 32,429 | P014 | 38,538 | P016 | 43,504 | P033 | 35,232 | P034 | 33,198 | P038 | 31,940 | P040 | 45,525 | P063 | 42,093 | P085 | 51,278 | P094 | 37,403 | P127 | 31,124 | P131 | 43,053 | P135 | 32,594 | P136 | 39,468 | P139 | 33,736 | P158 | 39,985 | P159 | 43,834 | P160 | 44,509 | P161 | 43,751 |
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| total | 808,693 |
Eliminated the majority per BN-winning constituency to 2000, totalling 556,817 or 5.04%
Parliament | No. of majority vote | P001 | 7,426 | P002 | 4,037 | P003 | 1,371 | P004 | 11,861 | P005 | 3,270 | P007 | 4,442 | P013 | 2,807 | P018 | 1,871 | P026 | 974 | P027 | 4,227 | P029 | 805 | P030 | 5,336 | P032 | 8,413 | P041 | 4,176 | P042 | 3,042 | P053 | 1,539 | P054 | 6,216 | P055 | 4,161 | P056 | 5,296 | P058 | 1,140 | P061 | 2,230 | P067 | 1,082 | P069 | 4,497 | P072 | 7,927 | P073 | 7,386 | P075 | 2,108 | P077 | 4,328 | P078 | 462 | P079 | 3,469 | P081 | 4,532 | P084 | 7,715 | P086 | 6,475 | P087 | 6,205 | P089 | 379 | P090 | 2,143 | P091 | 15,114 | P092 | 1,890 | P093 | 399 | P095 | 4,394 | P096 | 460 | P118 | 1,390 | P119 | 866 | P125 | 5,541 | P126 | 7,101 | P129 | 9,661 | P133 | 11,162 | P134 | 16,200 | P140 | 1,217 | P141 | 3,007 | P142 | 353 | P143 | 12,842 | P144 | 1,967 | P146 | 1,646 | P147 | 11,753 | P148 | 7,310 | P149 | 5,761 | P151 | 5,706 | P153 | 10,631 | P154 | 15,747 | P155 | 17,196 | P156 | 24,574 | P157 | 22,508 | P164 | 13,727 | P165 | 5,457 | P166 | 6,625 | P167 | 12,376 | P168 | 842 | P169 | 5,095 | P170 | 5,190 | P171 | 9,442 | P173 | 9,507 | P175 | 10,535 | P176 | 5,723 | P177 | 672 | P178 | 9,469 | P179 | 3,611 | P180 | 3,918 | P181 | 3,886 | P182 | 1,744 | P183 | 9,988 | P184 | 11,586 | P185 | 3,798 | P187 | 9,731 | P188 | 13,387 | P189 | 20,905 | P190 | 4,979 | P191 | 14,221 | P192 | 2,156 | P193 | 20,936 | P194 | 21,443 | P197 | 17,401 | P198 | 9,721 | P199 | 13,151 | P200 | 11,260 | P201 | 10,964 | P202 | 6,550 | P203 | 4,091 | P204 | 10,887 | P205 | 2,081 | P206 | 10,964 | P207 | 10,149 | P209 | 5,955 | P210 | 3,042 | P213 | 12,764 | P214 | 7,555 | P215 | 9,731 | P216 | 5,834 | P217 | 7,433 | P218 | 6,066 | P220 | 194 | P221 | 8,301 | P222 | 6,030 |
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| Total | 780,817 | (-)2000 for each constituency |
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| 224,000 | Total to eliminate | 556,817 |
To eliminate half of votes garnered by BN in PR-winning constituencies, totalling 1,113,080 or 10.07%
Parliament | No. of vote | P008 | 32,263 | P009 | 25,491 | P010 | 37,923 | P015 | 34,646 | P017 | 25,714 | P019 | 35,487 | P020 | 19,497 | P021 | 24,650 | P023 | 17,405 | P024 | 18,769 | P025 | 35,218 | P028 | 31,691 | P031 | 25,876 | P035 | 33,251 | P036 | 35,043 | P037 | 37,860 | P039 | 31,406 | P043 | 12,307 | P044 | 25,369 | P045 | 12,814 | P046 | 10,674 | P047 | 21,405 | P048 | 12,813 | P049 | 6,865 | P050 | 17,461 | P051 | 13,597 | P052 | 24,251 | P057 | 17,539 | P059 | 29,577 | P060 | 25,530 | P062 | 18,800 | P064 | 15,086 | P065 | 16,382 | P066 | 15,360 | P068 | 16,882 | P070 | 21,463 | P071 | 32,249 | P074 | 32,140 | P076 | 20,086 | P080 | 20,601 | P082 | 23,061 | P083 | 21,319 | P088 | 27,197 | P097 | 34,385 | P098 | 50,093 | P099 | 28,691 | P100 | 21,454 | P101 | 46,860 | P102 | 37,032 | P103 | 30,136 | P104 | 27,963 | P105 | 21,846 | P106 | 12,735 | P107 | 39,549 | P108 | 38,070 | P109 | 46,059 | P110 | 29,034 | P111 | 29,711 | P112 | 35,625 | P113 | 35,658 | P114 | 7,530 | P115 | 28,388 | P116 | 26,130 | P117 | 22,184 | P120 | 11,009 | P121 | 29,161 | P122 | 9,948 | P123 | 10,840 | P124 | 32,235 | P128 | 33,075 | P130 | 25,171 | P132 | 28,269 | P137 | 40,624 | P138 | 28,775 | P145 | 26,051 | P150 | 37,039 | P152 | 33,215 | P162 | 39,522 | P163 | 29,888 | P172 | 9,557 | P174 | 12,382 | P186 | 13,138 | P195 | 10,491 | P196 | 22,993 | P208 | 13,758 | P211 | 17,983 | P212 | 23,967 | P219 | 24,917 |
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| Total | 2,226,159 | Eliminate 50% of vote | 1,113,080 |
47.38% - 7.31% - 5.04% - 10.07% = 24.96%
原来真的是mathematically possible的。
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